EU fears end as Poland and Hungary could trigger crisis | World | New
EU solution to problems “is more European”, says Oulds
The European Union has clashed for many years with its member countries, Poland and Hungary, and tensions have grown even more acute in recent months. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has come under heavy criticism over anti-LGBTQ + legislation, while Polish authorities have said they do not accept the supremacy of EU law. Brussels has tried to cope with the situation in a number of ways, ranging from legal action to cutting funding, but has so far not imposed any changes.
While experts can’t predict exactly what will happen, there are many possible scenarios, according to Politico.
One of these scenarios shows that the European Union could become more populist.
If the Polish and Hungarian governments remain in power and more far-right parties across Europe, like France and Italy, gain power, this will force the EU to move away from concerns about democracy. and the rule of law.
Mr Orban and PiS leader Jaroslaw Kaczynski both invested in building good relations with populist parties across the bloc and argued that the EU should be first and foremost an economic project – with less integration Politics.
Hungarian Prime Minister Victor Orban.
The EU could end because Poland and Hungary could trigger a crisis.
Last month, 16 European right-wing populist parties – including Fidesz, PiS, the National Rally of French presidential candidate Marine Le Pen and Matteo Salvini’s League in Italy – said in a joint statement: European institutions have trained a dangerous tendency to impose an ideological monopoly.
Recently, two right-wing populist parties have performed very well in polls in Italy, with around 20 percent each.
And according to the Politico poll, Ms Le Pen is currently expected to win 44% of the vote in a runoff with French President Emmanuel Macron.
While a Le Pen presidency is often seen as a long term, it cannot be ruled out.
READ MORE: Hungary could leave EU this decade unless bullying from Brussels stops
Poland and Hungary could cause problems for the EU.
In addition, Mr. Orban has increasingly aligned himself with a vision for the continent that matches his own.
The Hungarian Prime Minister said in a speech in June: “The phrase ‘ever closer unity’ must be removed from the text of EU treaties at the earliest available opportunity.
Another scenario, although less likely, is Polexit and Hexit, which refer to both Poland and Hungary leaving the European Union.
Poland could leave the EU or be expelled from it by other member countries.
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Head of PiS Jaroslaw Kaczynski.
Brussels has tried to cope with the situation in a number of ways, ranging from legal action to cutting funding.
However, the figures have shown that both Hungarians and Poles support EU membership.
Only 39% of Poles and 28% of Hungarians think their country would be better off without the EU, according to a winter 2020-2021 Eurobarometer study.
Poland and Hungary have also benefited from EU funding, with the Polish prime minister saying he has no plans to leave.
In Hungary, members of the ruling party have expressed mixed opinions on joining the EU.
Earlier this year Laszlo Kover, speaker of the Hungarian National Assembly and one of the founding members of Fidesz, said that if a referendum on EU membership was held now, he would vote against membership in the block.
Hungarian Finance Minister Mihaly Varga told ATV that if he were to vote in 2021, he would vote in favor of EE membership.
But, Mr Varga added that “by the end of the decade, when, by our calculations, we will already be net payers to the EU, the issue could take on a new perspective.”